My point in all this has been that there is no empirical data to support either claim.
All the raw data can be skewed to prove just about anything you want it to, or can be explained away.
My big point in this thread is that everyone should learn to think for themselves.
Doesn't anybody else find it interesting that everyone in the thread just accepted Shmokes original claims, despite the fact there was no causal relationship between them, and the data used to support them?
Shmokes claims are the "hey, I've heard that before, it must be true" variety.
I've argued this same point from both sides (as well as gun control and evolution) several times, on different boards, and the results are the same.
People believe whatever it is that they have heard the most, or are inclined to believe from the beginning.
Shmokes,
Sorry to ride you so hard here, but hopefully SOMEBODY here learned that they need to question and learn.
Thanks for keeping up your end of the debate.
On a side note, the latest data you just posted doesn't DISPROVE that there is a deterrent effect to the death penalty because, in order to do so, one must assume that all states would have a similar murder rate, given the same death penalty laws.
This hypothesis is completely disproven by checking similar states, with similar laws, in similar parts of the country.
What? That wasn't your point. Your point was that the death penalty deters crime and that the Raw data proved it. You even went so far as saying that we don't get to pick and choose how we present the data.
I love how you just come in, sounding like the high-handed lecture that Jerry Springer gives at the end of his show, and declare yourself the winner and start talking about the lessons you hope each of us has learned.
People didn't blindly accept my claims here? It has, in fact, been me against the rest of the people in this thread for the most part, with the exception of Grasshopper (sorry if I missed any supporters). And I haven't made any claims that have turned out to be false, except the irrelevant one that you twisted out of context.
You have a tendency toward exaggeration NBA. I did not say that the death penalty increases crime rate. I said that there is some evidence that it might. Then in the very next sentence I said, "One thing for near certain, it
does not decrease the rate. (I even bolded the does not)
Most honest people don't read:
There is evidence that A might happen, but it is a near certainty that B does happen.as
A happensSimilarly, you act like I claimed that the Canada stats closed the case. The first line of my post after giving those stats was:
Could there be other reasons? Sure. Maybe Canada's economic situation has greatly improved in the same time period. I don't know. But the evidence is still pretty compelling. It's at least worthy of asking yourself...When I presented my most recent batch of data I specifically said that it wasn't conclusive. I just pointed out elements of it that "seem to support my argument". But just because a single set of data doesn't provide a smoking gun, doesn't make the data irrelevant. It identifies trends, and when you aggregate lots of inconclusive data together you can begin to develop conclusions based on similar trends that pop up in all the data. At the very least you should look at the data I just provided and ask yourself, "Why is Texas number 12 on the list after 30 years of the most prolific death row in the nation?" And, "Why, after 30 years of threatening criminals with their lives do the death penalty states still make up the bulk of the most violent states, while the states who are not threatening criminals with their lives take up nearly every spot on the safest-state list?" The answer to those questions might turn out to be something completely unrelated to the death penalty. It could be that Democrats tend to oppose the death penalty, but tend to favor some other thing, say drug rehab centers. So maybe highly democratic states tend to have lots of drug rehab centers and no executions. Maybe it's the drug rehab that is having the benefits on the crime rate, but since they tend to occur in the same place it's easy to identify the lack of a death penalty as the cause. But an honest person wouldn't just assume that is the case and refuse to treat the trend as significant.
The data sure looks good when you use it to prove that it DID help though, doesn't it?
I'll point out for your benefit that the deterrent capacity of the death penalty doesn't necessarily depend on executions having taken place. It obviously was not a deterrent for anyone who is ACTUALLY executed (provided they were actually guilty). It's the threat of execution that is meant to be a deterrent. While nobody was executed in the 9ish years that the death penalty was in effect in NY, I'm pretty sure that people
were sentenced to death and sitting on death row when the death penalty was repealed in 2004. I still don't think that it deters any significant amount of crime, and I don't think you can find any evidence that it does.
Also, I think a fundamental part of my philosophy on the death penalty that you don't understand, is that I begin with the death penalty being a negative thing, as should all people. The government is intentionally taking a person's life who poses no current threat. Since it is a negative, it has to have positive aspects, just to bring it into neutral territory for me.
So even if it is an exact wash between which prevents more crime, having the death penalty or not having the death penalty, not having the death penalty wins for me, because it starts out as neutral. If crime rates remain exactly the same after repealing the death penalty, we have moved in a positive direction because we've stripped the government of a power that did not benefit society.