Or a rural Health dept. like mine, with not much more than 100 employees and workstations who only employ one network guy -- me -- who will probably outsource the entire IT dept. when I leave. QOS, VPN, Firewalls. All that stuff just gets set up once and from then on it just goes, with periodic tweaking required, but nothing that can't be done remotely.
Network admin jobs will not go away entirely, but the number of them will shrink dramatically as technology allows non-humans to do the work humans used to do. Already the ubiquity of the internet and the existence of technology like PC Anywhere allow someone from anywhere in the world do the same thing that I used to have to be physically standing in front of a machine to do. In the past you had to have a physical serial connection between your laptop and all that Cisco equipment you're talking about to make changes to it. Now you can make those changes from a cafe in Paris. It's a one-two punch. Intelligent networks make some of my skills obsolete, and remote administration capabilities make outsourcing and economies of scale possible with network administration.
Software developers have it coming too. It'll be quite some time before software can write itself, but outsourcing is already starting. That's one problem I have with the outsourcing trend that's going on right now. The argument used to be that we outsourced textiles and manufacturing, which caused us to lose those jobs for unskilled workers, but that it benefited us economically in the long run as our kids focused on education and got better jobs because of that education. But we are now outsourcing jobs that require advanced education. CPAs and auditing work are being outsourced. Electrical engineering is being outsourced. This stuff requires advanced degrees. How are Americans supposed to compete. To make matters worse, Taiwan and Korea are beginning to seriously close the gap between America's technical superiority over other countries. India isn't going to be far behind. They have an enormous populous that is becoming very well educated, and they're starting to put out products on par with what IBM and Cisco are doing at a far lower cost. Sucks for us.
At least it is unlikely that some guy making $10/hour in India will be able to do what I do as a laywer......I hope
