Personally, I'd be inclined to trust the "+" sign.
Additionally,
this seems to indicate that the "thick bar" is the probably the "-"side as well:
"Check the polarity on the existing capacitor (there is a thick bar on the capacitor, 75% of the time, it's the - side). The + side of a capacitor has a longer lead if the outside markings are confusing"
That being said, I don't really know for sure.