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So are we headed into bluray or hd dvd or both ?

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rlemmon:

I have done a little digging into it. It seems bluray will come out ahead but who knows what do you guys think ?

abrannan:

I don't think either will really gain enough market traction before the studios, cable companies, and network providers work out reliable on demand network delivery of movies.  From there, formats can change (and High-def can get higher) without requiring a whole new player.  There are at least a dozen new startups trying to find the right model for online movie delivery, and one of them is bound to hit on the right combinations to make both the consumer and studio happy. 

BluRay will probably succeed most as a data format, where there will still need to be physical media (i.e. this generation of consoles), but it will also go away by next-gen, IMO.


shmokes:

HD-DVD seems to be doing better so far, but if PS3 has a great deal of success that could change.  Frankly, I agree with abrannan.  DVDs already look pretty good on an HD TV.  DVDs were light years ahead of the VCR.  Not just the picture was better, but navigating the movie was so much nicer.  BluRay/HD-DVD just don't offer that much.  The picture looks better, but it's nothing like the jump between VCR and DVD.  And DVD was so incredibly successful that people have built up enormous libraries that they're not going to be too keen on replacing so soon.

So, like abrannan, I think the next big shift in media format will be no media at all.  I'm not entirely sold on BluRay's success over HD-DVD yet.  I think it depends mostly on the PS3.

clanggedin:

It all comes down to cost. VHS beat Beta even though the quality wasn't as good, but was much cheaper. It really depends on which format releases players under $200 first.

I don't even have a HDTV yet so I dont care who wins, as long as there is a clear winner when I get around to buying an HDTV.

ChadTower:


The big things that changed with DVDs:

- Size
- Digital sound, 5.1, etc
- Near random access seek times
- No more VCRs eating tapes
- No more degradation of the media due to regular use
- Eventually, hella cheap DVD players that are pretty much disposable

These were all gigantic improvements over VHS.  Those will mostly stay consistent in the next wave of DVD technology so I think the transition will be much slower.

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